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So how to read this is the fact when we are under twenty% within the X-axis (fewer than 20% drinking water during the oil), There is certainly zero to the y-axis (the drinking water won't stream with the rock at all). As we get previously mentioned 20% h2o saturation, the stream of drinking water raises rapidly, right until earlier mentioned 80% h2o, there isn't a circulation of oil whatsoever.
Euan has questioned no matter whether a rise in water Slice similar to this might have a sizable ample effect on output to elucidate all the declines we see. Allow me to try to produce an estimate on how massive it could be. We are not able to try this with any precision with the fractional move curve because we do not have an actual fractional circulation curve for this Section of Ghawar. Even so, There exists other facts in Paper #93439 which lets us estimate this. Specifically, the paper is made up of a discussion of what portion of output arises from driving the flood front, vs . in front of the flood entrance.
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